Cash Flow Scenario Planner

    2

    Spreadsheets show the numbers, but they rarely explain the risk.

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    Cash Flow Scenario Planner

    Example session with this skill installed

    Create scenarios for a design agency with $20k cash, $25k monthly sales, 45-day payment terms, and $16k overhead. What happens if sales drop 30% for two months?

    • Read your context and instructions
    • Compiled the cash flow scenario

    The following cash flow plan models your current agency position against a potential revenue contraction, highlighting the impact of your 45-day collection cycle on liquidity.

    Cash Flow Scenario Plan

    1. Planning Context

    Business: Creative Design Agency
    Objective: Evaluate 3-month survival during a 30% sales downturn.
    Current Cash: $20,000
    Key Constraint: 45-day lag between invoicing and cash receipt.

    2. Scenario Summary

    ScenarioSales PerformanceMonthly Cash ImpactSurvival Outlook
    Base Case$25,000/mo+$9,000 (pre-tax)Stable; building reserves.
    Downside$17,500/mo+$1,500 (pre-tax)Tight; no room for error.
    Stress Case$12,000/mo-$4,000 (pre-tax)Depletes cash in 5 months.

    3. Core Assumptions

    • Receipt Timing: 50% of invoices paid at 45 days; 10% late (60+ days).
    • Overhead: $16,000 fixed (Rent, Software, Base Payroll).
    • Variable Costs: Freelancers reduced by 20% in Downside/Stress cases.
    • Tax: $4,500 quarterly set-aside not included in monthly overhead.

    4. Scenario Narratives

    Downside Case: A 30% drop in sales ($17.5k) barely covers the $16k overhead. Because of the 45-day lag, you won't feel the cash pinch until Month 2. By Month 3, the buffer stops growing, leaving the agency vulnerable to one late-paying client.

    5. Sensitivity Notes

    Your primary risk is

    Debtor Days. If your 45-day average slips to 60 days during a downturn, you will face a $12,500 cash gap in Month 2 regardless of sales volume.

    6. Risk Triggers

    • Trigger 1: Cash balance drops below $12,000 (minimum safe operating reserve).
    • Trigger 2: Pipeline for following month falls below $20,000 in signed contracts.
    • Trigger 3: Average collection period exceeds 50 days.

    7. Management Actions

    • Immediate: Implement 50% upfront deposits for all new projects to bridge the 45-day gap.
    • Downside: Shift freelancers to project-based pay rather than retainers.
    • Stress: Negotiate a 30-day rent deferral or reduce owner drawings by 50%.

    8. Follow-Up Questions

    • Are there any one-off annual software renewals due in the next 90 days?
    • What is the specific value of current aged debtors (invoices older than 60 days)?

    Next steps

    • Update your 90-day projection with specific invoice due dates rather than averages.
    • Review your freelancer contracts to see if notice periods allow for rapid scaling down.
    • Verify your next tax filing date to ensure the $20k balance isn't already committed.

    Connects securely to your tools. The creator never sees your data.

    What you get

    Model downside risks to identify when a business will run out of cash.Document financial assumptions for board meetings or lender applications.Identify specific risk triggers that require immediate management intervention.Audit existing cash flow spreadsheets for missing tax or timing errors.

    About this skill

    Spreadsheets show the numbers, but they rarely explain the risk. This skill bridges the gap between raw financial data and actionable management decisions by generating structured cash flow narratives and risk assessments. It stops founders and finance managers from relying on static "best-case" projections and forces a realistic look at what happens when timing slips or costs spike.

    What it does

    • Scenario generation produces base, upside, downside, and stress-case narratives to visualize different business outcomes.
    • Assumption mapping documents sales timing, debtor days, creditor terms, and tax obligations to ensure every dollar is accounted for.
    • Sensitivity analysis isolates the specific variables, like payroll or stock lead times, that most threaten liquidity.
    • Risk triggers establishes measurable early warning signs that tell management exactly when to pivot.
    • Management actions provides concrete operational steps to take before a cash crunch becomes a crisis.

    How it works

    1. Context input where you provide current cash position, revenue streams, and major fixed costs.
    2. Assumption capture for defining payment delays, seasonal effects, and working capital needs.
    3. Plan generation which builds the full scenario suite, including sensitivity notes and action plans.
    4. Audit mode for reviewing existing spreadsheets to find missing taxes, unrealistic timing, or weak risk triggers.

    Frameworks & tools

    This skill works with any small business or agency finance stack, providing the narrative layer for data exported from QuickBooks, Xero, or Excel.

    Why this beats prompting it yourself

    Generic prompts often treat revenue as instant cash and ignore the nuance of payment terms or tax cycles. This skill enforces a rigorous framework that separates sales from receipts, ensuring you don't miss "invisible" cash drains like VAT or stock reorder lead times.

    Use cases

    • Lender preparation to create professional management notes for loan or grant applications.
    • Board reporting to present clear "what-if" scenarios to stakeholders without drowning them in rows of data.
    • Growth planning to model the cash impact of hiring or inventory expansion before committing funds.
    • Crisis management to identify the exact triggers for pausing discretionary spend during a downturn.

    Known limitations

    Does not provide regulated financial, tax, or insolvency advice. Analysis depends entirely on the accuracy of user-provided figures and does not integrate directly with bank APIs.

    How to install

    Works the same in every agent - Claude, Cursor, Codex, Copilot and 20+ more.

    ~30 seconds
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