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- Business Cash Flow Risk Reasoning Engine
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Business Cash Flow Risk Reasoning Engine
A diagnostic reasoning engine that identifies business cash-flow risks, shock resilience, and dependency safety.
Free
Business Cash Flow Risk Reasoning Engine
Example session with this skill installed
I've uploaded our last 6 months of bank statements and an aging report. One client is 40% of our revenue. What happens if they leave, and are we safe to hire two more
- Read your context and instructions
- Compiled the business cash flow
- Generated the document
I have analyzed the provided bank statements and receivables aging report. The following diagnosis focuses on your current safety state and the impact of your client concentration risk.
Business Cash-Flow Risk Diagnosis
| Safety Dimension | Status | Value / Trend | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Safety State | VULNERABLE | See Executive Diagnosis | High |
| Liquidity (L_t) | Pass | 1.42 (vs 1.0 threshold) | High |
| Resilience (R_t) | Fail | 0.35 (Shock: Loss of Anchor) | Moderate |
| Generative Capacity | Watch | Declining (G_H: -$4.2k/mo) | High |
| Dependency Safety | Critical | High Criticality / Low Sub. | High |
Executive Diagnosis
The business is currently
Vulnerable. While immediate liquidity is sufficient to meet existing obligations, the business lacks the resilience to survive the loss of your anchor client (40% revenue share). Furthermore, historical net resource generation has trended slightly negative over the last six months, suggesting that current operations are consuming more resource than they generate.
Key Observations
- OBSERVED: Anchor client accounts for 40% of total inflows ($82k/mo average).
- CALCULATED: Net Resource Generation (NR_t) is negative in 4 of the last 6 months.
INFERRED: Hiring two engineers ($16k/mo additional outflow) would breach the Minimum Safety boundary within 45 days.
Optimal Growth Boundary
Posture: Precede growth with risk reduction.
Growth must be paused. The current generative capacity cannot support additional fixed payroll without increasing the risk of a Critical safety failure. Priority must be shifted to diversifying the client base and stabilizing the net resource generation.
Next steps
- Review the Resilience Analysis section for the specific cash-out date in a zero-anchor-client scenario.
- Implement the Recommended Actions to reduce overhead by 8% to reach a neutral G_H.
- Secure a secondary contract representing at least 15% of total revenue before reconsidering the engineering hires.
business-cash-flow-risk-reasoning-engine.pdf
PDF · document
Example file from a real run - the skill writes it into your workspace.
Connects securely to your tools. The creator never sees your data.
About this skill
The problem
Standard financial tools often focus on static ratios like revenue and profit, which fail to capture the real-world complexity of cash-flow timing and structural dependencies. Decision-makers often lack a clear way to distinguish between temporary symptoms and deep-seated financial risks before a crisis hits.
What it does
- Analyzes cash-flow and net-resource movements using time-aware reasoning instead of simple accounting balances.
- Evaluates shock resilience by testing the business against specific scenarios like client loss or supply chain disruptions.
- Assesses critical dependency safety across customers, suppliers, and personnel to identify single points of failure.
- Determines an overall Safety State (Safe, Watch, Vulnerable, or Critical) based on liquidity, resilience, and generative capacity.
- Generates a 14-section diagnostic report and an interactive risk dashboard with evidence-traceable action plans.
Why this beats prompting it yourself
This skill uses a custom mathematical skeleton that enforces evidence-only analysis, preventing the AI from fabricating numbers or ignoring data gaps. It applies a specific reasoning framework that treats financial safety as multidimensional, ensuring dependencies and future capacity are weighted as heavily as immediate cash.
Use cases
- Stress-testing a mid-size business against the loss of a major anchor client.
- Determining the optimal growth boundary to ensure expansion doesn't breach safety limits.
- Diagnosing the root cause of persistent liquidity issues in a services firm or manufacturer.
- Creating an evidence-based risk report for stakeholders using bank statements and receivables aging.
Known limitations
Does not provide generic investment, legal, or tax advice. Requires user-defined thresholds for precise pass/fail metrics, otherwise defaults to qualitative assessment.
How to install
Works the same in every agent - Claude, Cursor, Codex, Copilot and 20+ more.
- 1
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- 2
Unzip into your skills folder
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- 3
Ask your agent to use it
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