wholesale deal analyzer

    1

    Vet wholesale quotes and MOQs with rigorous unit economics, inventory velocity modeling, and downside risk analysis.

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    wholesale deal analyzer

    Example session with this skill installed

    Analyze this wholesale deal: 500 units of ergonomic office chairs at $45/unit. Shipping is $1200 total. Expected retail is $120. I sell about 40 units a month. 3PL fees are $18/unit.

    • Read your context and instructions
    • Compiled the wholesale deal analyzer

    I have analyzed the ergonomic office chair wholesale quote. The deal shows strong unit margins but carries significant inventory duration risk for a single SKU.

    Wholesale Deal Analysis: Ergonomic Office Chairs

    1. Decision Snapshot

    The unit economics are healthy with a 47.5% contribution margin. However, the MOQ represents 12.5 months of inventory, which is high for a single order. Proceeding depends on your ability to verify the $120 retail price point and your comfort with a year-long cash tie-up.

    2. Inputs & Assumptions

    ItemValueStatus
    Unit Cost$45.00Verified
    Shipping (Total)$1,200.00Verified
    Landed Cost/Unit$47.40Calculated
    MOQ500 unitsVerified
    Retail Price$120.00Supported
    Fulfillment/3PL$18.00Verified
    Sales Velocity40 units/moHypothesis

    3. Analysis

    DimensionScoreEvidenceWhy It Matters
    Landed Economics5/5$54.60 profit/unitHigh margin cushions against errors.
    MOQ Exposure2/5$23,700 total costSignificant capital lock-up for one SKU.
    Inventory Months1/512.5 monthsHigh risk of storage fees and obsolescence.
    Break-Even Units4/5198 unitsYou only need to sell 40% of stock to recover cash.

    4. Key Risks / Gaps

    1. Inventory Duration: 12.5 months of stock exceeds the standard 3-4 month window, increasing 3PL storage costs.
    2. Price Elasticity: If the $120 retail price drops to $90 to move stock faster, margins compress by 55%.
    3. Sales Velocity: 40 units/month is an estimate; if actuals are 20/month, the cash cycle extends to 2 years.

    5. Recommended Next Move

    Primary Action: Negotiate a split shipment or a smaller test MOQ of 150-200 units, even at a 10% higher unit cost.

    Supporting Actions:

    • Verify the $120 price point by checking the "Sold" history of similar items on marketplaces.
    • Calculate total 3PL storage fees for months 6 through 12 to find the true decay of your margin.

    6. Validation Plan

    QuestionEvidence NeededCheapest TestPass Signal
    Will it sell at $120?Market DataRun $50 in PPC ads to a landing page>2% CTR at $120
    Can we sell 40/mo?Real SalesBuy 10 units at retail from a competitor and resellAll 10 sell within 7 days

    Next steps

    • Confirm if the supplier allows a "Sample Pack" of 50 units before committing to the 500.
    • Check 3PL contract for "long-term storage" surcharges after 180 days.
    • Run a "worst-case" scenario where you liquidate at $65/unit.

    Connects securely to your tools. The creator never sees your data.

    What you get

    Verify per-unit profitability after shipping and fulfillment fees.Calculate how many months of capital are trapped in a specific MOQ.Determine the break-even units needed to recover initial investment.Stress-test deals against slow sales velocity and price markdowns.

    About this skill

    Wholesale sourcing is high-stakes. One bad Minimum Order Quantity (MOQ) can trap capital in dead stock for months. This skill provides a rigorous analytical framework for retailers and ecommerce sellers to vet quotes before signing a purchase order.

    What it does

    • Landed Cost Calculation translates raw quotes into true per-unit economics including shipping and fulfillment.
    • Capital Exposure Analysis quantifies the total risk of the MOQ against your available cash flow.
    • Inventory Velocity Modeling estimates how many months of stock you are buying based on sales forecasts.
    • Downside Stress-Testing calculates break-even points and salvage values if the product requires heavy markdowns.
    • Evidence Ledgering categorizes every data point as Verified, Supported, or Hypothesis to expose weak assumptions.

    How it works

    1. Input Normalization processes your quote, MOQ, retail price, and fulfillment fees into a standard format.
    2. Dimension Scoring evaluates the deal across eight metrics like Cash Conversion Cycle and Markdown Tolerance.
    3. Risk Identification flags the three most significant uncertainties that could break the deal.
    4. Actionable Recommendations suggests a specific next step, such as a sample order or a counter-offer on terms.

    Frameworks & tools

    This skill uses proprietary retail math frameworks for unit economics, inventory management, and risk assessment. It is compatible with data from Shopify, Amazon FBA, and standard wholesale price lists.

    Why this beats prompting it yourself

    Generic prompts often overlook the "hidden" costs like storage fees or the impact of slow inventory turns on cash flow. This skill enforces a strict evidence-based workflow that prevents optimism bias and ensures every recommendation is tied to a specific break-even calculation.

    Use cases

    • Evaluating a first-time MOQ for a new private label product.
    • Comparing two different supplier quotes with varying lead times and unit costs.
    • Assessing if a volume discount is worth the additional capital tie-up.
    • Determining the maximum acceptable markdown before a deal turns cash-flow negative.

    Known limitations

    Does not provide live market price scraping or supplier background checks. Analysis is limited to the data provided or researched through available search tools.

    How to install

    Works the same in every agent - Claude, Cursor, Codex, Copilot and 20+ more.

    ~30 seconds
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