trend or chop decision coach
by nowrich
Classifies market regimes and maps technical conditions to specific trading strategy recommendations.
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Works with the AI tools you already use
See it in action
You say
Analyze BTC/USD on the 4H timeframe. Price is oscillating between 62k and 65k for 10 days. MAs are flat. ADX is 15. ATR is shrinking. Recent news is quiet. What is the regime and strategy?
Your agent does
Market Regime Classification
- Primary Regime: Ranging
- Confidence: High
- Key Evidence: Price oscillating between 62k-65k support/resistance; flat moving averages; ADX below 20.
Strategy Guidance
Consider
- Mean-reversion trades (buy 62k, sell 65k)
- Iron condors or credit spreads
Reduce
- Trend-following systems
- Momentum chasing
Avoid
- Breakout strategies
- Long-duration directional bets
What you get
About this skill
The problem
Traders often apply trend-following strategies to sideways markets or chase breakouts during unstable news events, leading to significant drawdowns. Relying on a single strategy across all market conditions ignores the structural reality that asset behaviors shift between trending, ranging, and erratic states.
What it does
- Analyzes price series, volume, and volatility data to classify market regimes.
- Evaluates trend strength using ADX, moving average alignment, and price action structure.
- Identifies support and resistance respect levels to distinguish ranging from unstable environments.
- Generates a weighted classification (Trending vs. Ranging vs. Unstable) with a confidence score.
- Produces a concrete strategy roadmap detailing which systems to consider, reduce, or avoid.
Why this beats prompting it yourself
Standard prompts often result in vague "bullish" or "bearish" sentiment analysis. This skill enforces a rigorous framework that maps technical indicators to specific strategy families, preventing the common mistake of ignoring regime-specific risk profiles.
Use cases
- Identify when to switch from mean-reversion to trend-following systems.
- Determine if current volatility justifies staying flat or reducing position sizes.
- Validate breakout setups by checking if ADX and DI spreads support sustainable momentum.
- Audit portfolio positioning against the current market structure.
Known limitations
Requires historical price and volatility data to be provided in the prompt. Does not execute trades or provide specific entry/exit prices.
How to install
Drop the file into your AI Agent. Works with Claude, Cursor, ChatGPT, and 20+ more.
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