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    Training Pipeline Failure Forensics

    by monna

    1

    Rank evidence-backed causes of ML training crashes or silent degradation, then design the cheapest discriminating test and minimal reproduction.

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    You say

    A nightly training job still completes, but validation MAE increased from about 6.2 to 9.8 after a warehouse schema migration. Join-step row counts doubled for one day, dependencies are loosely pinned, and the last code merge was three weeks earlier. Build an evidence-ranked RCA and the smallest test that separates the leading causes.

    Your agent does

    ARTIFACT: TRAINING-FAILURE-RCA MODE: FORENSICS SURFACE: SILENT DEGRADATION

    1. Data contract / leakage — Highly likely Evidence: one-day join fan-out aligned with the schema migration; duplicates may persist in the rolling training window. Cheapest test: count duplicate trip IDs in the affected join output.

    2. Dependency drift — Weak signal Evidence: loose version pins keep it possible; timing is weaker. Cheapest test: diff the last-good and current environment locks.

    MINIMAL REPRODUCTION Check the affected partition, deduplicate the window, retrain once with the same seed, and compare MAE.

    BOUNDARY The cause remains unconfirmed until a discriminating test passes.

    What you get

    Investigate a training crash with partial logs.Diagnose a run that completes but produces worse metrics.Compare the last good run with the failed run.Design the cheapest discriminating test before a rerun.

    About this skill

    Turn a failed training run into a ranked investigation

    Training failures appear in two forms: loud crashes and silent degradation. This skill separates the symptom from the cause, timelines what changed since the last good run, and tests six failure classes against supplied evidence.

    What it produces

    • A loud-versus-silent failure classification
    • A change-set timeline across data, code, dependencies, infrastructure, configuration, and orchestration
    • Ranked hypotheses with evidence for and against each one
    • A confidence label and cheapest discriminating test per hypothesis
    • A minimal reproduction path for the leading hypothesis
    • A prevention line that can become a pipeline gate

    Failure classes covered

    Data-contract breaks, leakage, environment or dependency drift, resource and numerical failures, code defects, and orchestration faults.

    Best for

    • Training jobs that crash with partial logs
    • Runs that complete but produce worse metrics
    • Teams comparing the last good run with a failed one
    • Reviewers who need a minimal test before authorizing a rerun

    Boundaries

    The skill ranks hypotheses; it does not prove causality, execute SQL or training jobs, repair code, access infrastructure, or guarantee that the leading hypothesis is correct. Confirmation requires the named discriminating test.

    How to install

    Drop the file into your AI Agent. Works with Claude, Cursor, ChatGPT, and 20+ more.

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