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- TerraVue — US Property Analysis
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TerraVue — US Property Analysis
US housing market simulator using Monte Carlo paths and FHFA data to solve the buy vs. rent dilemma.
Free
TerraVue — US Property Analysis
Example session with this skill installed
Should I buy a $425,000 house in Minneapolis 55408 if my rent is $1,900 and I plan to stay 7 years? Household income is $140,000.
- Read your context and instructions
- Compiled the terravue
Short answer: you can afford it, but on these numbers renting wins over 7 years — by a wide margin.
| Result | |
|---|---|
| Affordability | Comfortable — 24.6% DTI, clears the $122.9K income bar by $17K |
| Cash to close | $95,625 (20% down + ~$10.6K closing) |
| Year-1 monthly cost | $3,222 buying vs. $1,920 renting (+$1,300/mo) |
| Breakeven | None within 7 years |
Buy vs. rent at year 7 (500 Monte Carlo scenarios, 6.75% rate)
| Renter invests at… | P(buying wins) | Median net-worth gap | Best-case (p90) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% (equities) | 3% | −$167K | −$55K |
| 4.5% (savings/bonds) | 15% | −$109K | +$18K |
Why it loses
- Weak appreciation forecast: 55408 is modeled at ~1.3%/yr — barely enough to cover selling costs on exit.
- Price-to-rent ~18.6×: $1,900 rent is cheap relative to a $425K purchase.
Carry costs: 1.02% property tax, 0.85% insurance, plus maintenance — ~$1,000/mo of non-equity cost on top of mortgage interest.
What would flip it
- Your $1,900 is rent for a comparable home. If an equivalent 55408 rental is really ~$2,600+, the math tightens a lot — worth checking.
- A materially lower price, a rate in the low-5s, or a much longer hold (10+ yrs).
- Strong non-financial reasons (stability, control of the space) you're willing to pay ~$100K+ in expected net worth for.
Want me to run a sensitivity on the rent comp or a 10-year hold?
Connects securely to your tools. The creator never sees your data.
About this skill
Buying a home is often the largest financial decision a person makes, yet most advice relies on vague estimates or calculators that apply a national average to a local decision. This skill replaces guesswork with a 500-scenario Monte Carlo simulation grounded in FHFA house-price records at ZIP granularity back to 1975, plus Zillow ZORI rents and Census ACS data.
What it does
- Buy vs. Rent Analysis returns the probability that buying outperforms renting over a specific horizon, modeling the renter investing the down payment and any monthly difference so both sides are compared on the same money over the same clock.
- Affordability Modeling determines whether a specific property fits a buyer's profile, or solves for the maximum purchase price under lender DTI limits and cash on hand — and reports which limit actually binds.
- Location Benchmarking retrieves ZIP-level appreciation estimates, school ratings, tax and insurance rates, walkability, water quality and market rents.
- Comparative Analysis ranks multiple ZIPs side by side on appreciation, schools, education level and water quality.
- Breakeven Estimation reports the year buying overtakes renting — or states plainly that it does not within the horizon, which is frequently the honest answer.
How it works
- Gather context by identifying intent — evaluating a specific address, or determining a general budget.
- Retrieve local data from the address or ZIP to pull regional tax, insurance, rent and appreciation history.
- Run simulations across 500 scenarios, sampling from each ZIP's own historical volatility rather than a national figure.
- Report probabilities rather than verdicts, along with the assumptions driving them.
Frameworks & tools
A remote MCP server at https://api.terravue.app/mcp — no install, no runtime, no API key. It draws on FHFA HPI, Zillow ZORI and Census ACS.
Why this beats prompting it yourself
Language models reliably hallucinate mortgage math and have no access to ZIP-specific appreciation history. This skill forces the agent to call a dedicated engine and verified datasets instead of producing plausible-looking but incorrect figures — and, just as importantly, to refuse the questions the data cannot answer.
Use cases
- Determine whether an $800k home in Austin beats renting over a 5-year hold.
- Identify whether a buyer is limited by monthly income (DTI) or by liquid cash.
- Rank several ZIP codes against each other on appreciation and school ratings.
- See how sensitive a decision is to the assumed investment return, by running it at 9.5% and again at 4.5%.
Known limitations
US residential properties only. No individual property valuations, no listing lookups, and no sub-ZIP neighborhood forecasting — sub-ZIP appreciation edges mean-revert, so census-tract data describes where a home sits within its ZIP today and never predicts that pocket's future.
How to use
Skills on Agensi run inside your AI agent. Copy the prompt, paste it into your agent, and it connects to Agensi and installs this skill for you. If a payment is needed, your agent shows it to you first.
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