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- Stock Research Report & Thesis Builder Skill
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Stock Research Report & Thesis Builder Skill
Transform raw stock research and financial filings into a structured, evidence-led investment thesis with risk mapping.
$9.99
Stock Research Report & Thesis Builder Skill
Example session with this skill installed
Build a preliminary thesis for AAPL based on my notes: services growth is accelerating, but hardware cycles are lengthening. I'm worried about regulatory risk in Europe. Use a 2-year horizon.
- Read your context and instructions
- Compiled the stock research report
I have organized your notes into a preliminary research framework for Apple Inc. (AAPL). The analysis distinguishes between your observations on segment shifts and the stated regulatory concerns.
Equity Research Report: Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Research as of: 2024-05-22
Research horizon: 24 Months
Evidence status: Preliminary (User Notes)
| Category | Summary |
|---|---|
| Central Debate | Can Services margin expansion offset slowing hardware replacement cycles and regulatory headwinds? |
| Thesis Pillar | Services acceleration driven by high-margin recurring revenue and ecosystem lock-in. |
| Counter-Thesis | Regulatory mandates (DMA) threaten App Store take-rates; hardware saturation limits new user acquisition. |
| Key Catalyst | Q3 Earnings (Services segment margins); Regulatory rulings in EU. |
Investment Thesis Pillars
- Claim: Services growth is accelerating and becoming the primary earnings driver.
- Evidence: User-provided observation of accelerating growth.
Mechanism: Higher gross margins in Services (historically ~70%) vs. Products (~36%) drive significant operating leverage.
- Invalidation: A decline in active installed base or a forced reduction in App Store commissions.
Risk Register
| Risk | Impact Pathway | Early-Warning Indicator |
|---|---|---|
| Regulatory (EU) | Forced opening of ecosystem reduces Services revenue and security premium. | Legal filings regarding Digital Markets Act compliance. |
| Hardware Stagnation | Longer replacement cycles reduce entry points for new Services users. | Average age of iPhone active base increasing beyond 3 years. |
Monitoring Checklist
Metric: Services Gross Margin.
Baseline: TBD.
Frequency: Quarterly.
Positive Signal: Expansion >50bps.
- Event: EU Regulatory Rulings. Source: EC Press Releases. Warning Signal: Mandatory fee caps.
Next steps
- Upload the most recent 10-K to verify segment margin trends.
- Provide specific Services revenue growth targets to build a base-case valuation.
- Define the "invalidation threshold" for hardware cycle length (e.g., if cycles exceed 4 years).
Connects securely to your tools. The creator never sees your data.
About this skill
Converting fragmented research into a coherent investment case is time-consuming and prone to bias. This skill acts as a senior equity research analyst, transforming raw notes, filings, and financial data into a structured, evidence-led investment thesis that withstands professional scrutiny.
What it does
- Classifies evidence by categorizing inputs into company-reported facts, analyst estimates, model assumptions, and unverified claims.
- Builds thesis pillars by linking specific claims to economic mechanisms, evidence sources, and invalidation conditions.
- Generates counter-theses by constructing the strongest reasonable opposing cases to test the fragility of your assumptions.
- Maps catalysts by identifying specific milestones, their expected timing, and their potential impact on share performance.
- Creates monitoring checklists that turn research conclusions into observable checkpoints with defined warning signals.
- Audits financial data to flag earnings not supported by cash flow, rising leverage, or inconsistent reporting periods.
How it works
- Define scope by providing the company ticker, research date, and your central investment question.
- Input data by uploading raw notes, annual reports, earnings transcripts, or valuation models.
- Review analysis as the agent normalizes your notes and separates facts from interpretations across business and financial sections.
- Refine thesis by reviewing the bull and bear scenarios, risk register, and valuation sensitivities.
Frameworks & tools
This skill utilizes standard equity research methodologies, including DCF, EV/EBITDA, and sum-of-the-parts valuation frameworks. It follows principles of traceability and evidence-based reporting similar to professional buy-side and sell-side standards.
Why this beats prompting it yourself
Generic prompts often produce "balanced" but vague summaries that lack rigor. This skill enforces a strict separation between facts and forecasts, preventing the AI from manufacturing data while ensuring that counterarguments are substantive rather than token objections.
Use cases
- Drafting research reports from messy meeting notes or fragmented investor presentations.
- Stress-testing a long position by generating a high-conviction bear case based on current filings.
- Onboarding new tickers by creating a structured overview and a list of open questions for management.
Known limitations
Does not provide personalized financial advice or buy/sell instructions. Requires user-supplied or browsed data to generate valuation conclusions; it cannot invent current market prices.
Does not provide financial advice. Cannot invent market data or current prices if not supplied or retrieved. Accuracy depends on the quality of source materials provided.
How to use
- 1
Connect your agent to the Agensi MCP
Copy the prompt and paste it into Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor or any agent that supports MCP. It sets up the connection for you. Manual setup
- 2
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- 3
Ask for what you need
Your agent loads this skill and uses it on your task. It always asks before any payment.
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