risk of ruin reality checker

    1

    Stress-test trading strategies against ruin, drawdown, and losing streaks using fixed fractional math.

    $5

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    Works with the AI tools you already use

    CClaude CodeCCursorCCodex CLIGGitHub CopilotGGemini CLI+17 more

    See it in action

    You say

    Run a reality check. Win rate 35%, payoff ratio 3:1, risk 2% per trade, 500 trades planned, $100k starting equity.

    Your agent does

    EV: 0.40 (Healthy). Risk of Ruin: <0.01%. Likely losing streak: 12 trades. Max Expected Drawdown: 21.5% ($21,530). ALERT: Aggressive risk per trade. MEDD exceeds 20%. Suggest reducing risk to 1.5% to stabilize drawdown.

    What you get

    Validate the mathematical expectancy of a new trading strategy.Calculate the probability of account ruin over a 500-trade sequence.Determine the maximum likely losing streak for a given win rate.Optimize risk per trade to keep drawdown within specific tolerances.

    About this skill

    How to install

    Drop the file into your AI Agent. Works with Claude, Cursor, ChatGPT, and 20+ more.

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