Polymarket Private Markets Trading Bot

    3

    Advanced Polymarket agent that trades the private market segment, specifically focussed on IPO timing, mispricings and cross-market arbitrage opportunities.

    $5

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    Works with the AI tools you already use

    Claude CodeClaude CodeCursorCursorCodex CLICodex CLIGitHub CopilotGitHub CopilotGemini CLIGemini CLI+20 more

    Polymarket Private Markets Trading Bot

    Example session with this skill installed

    Check the Stripe 2025 IPO markets for mispricings. Analyze the valuation ladders against the timing markets and generate a trade memo if you find an edge.

    • Read your context and instructions
    • Compiled the polymarket private markets

    DECISION: TRADE (Poly-ID: STRIPE-IPO-2025)
    Price: $0.34 | Fair Value: $0.42 | Edge: 8%
    Signal: Coherence Violation. P(Stripe IPO 2025) < P(Stripe Valuation > $70B IPO).
    Action: Buy YES up to $0.36.
    Risk: High liquidity (Vol: $240k), Low resolution risk (SEC S-1 source).

    Connects securely to your tools. The creator never sees your data.

    What you get

    Identify arbitrage between related private company valuation markets.Analyze SEC EDGAR filings to predict IPO window shifts before the crowd.Calculate optimal position sizing using Kelly Criterion and liquidity gates.Generate trade memos with resolution-risk scoring and exit strategies.

    About this skill

    Specialized Private Equity & IPO Market Intelligence

    The poly-private-markets skill transforms your AI agent into a sophisticated analyst for Polymarket's private company and IPO prediction markets. It solves the problem of "informational noise" by moving beyond news headlines to focus on cross-market coherence, resolution rule technicalities, and hard regulatory signals from SEC filings.

    Advanced Analytical Framework

    • Cross-Market Coherence: Detects mispricings by building "coherence webs" that identify logical contradictions between time ladders, valuation thresholds, and related entity markets.
    • Resolution Rule Forensic: Analyzes the fine print of market contracts to find edge in how "IPO," "valuation," and "official source" are strictly defined.
    • IPO Timing Signals: Correlates EDGAR filing activity (S-1/A, DRS) and macro proxies like the VIX or Renaissance IPO ETF to predict listing windows.
    • Noise Mean Reversion: Quantifies when to fade unconfirmed social media rumors versus when to respect official disclosures.

    Professional Risk Management

    Instead of simple "yes/no" guesses, this skill provides a developer-grade trading memo including Kelly Criterion sizing, liquidity-adjusted entry/exit prices, and specific resolution risk scores. It supports a disciplined workflow of paper trading, exit tracking, and calibration to ensure long-term edge over the retail crowd.

    How to install

    Works the same in every agent - Claude, Cursor, Codex, Copilot and 20+ more.

    ~30 seconds
    1. 1

      Download the ZIP

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    2. 2

      Unzip into your skills folder

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    3. 3

      Ask your agent to use it

      Restart the agent if it was already running. It picks the skill up automatically - no config needed.

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    Fresh listing

    Recently published to Agensi

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    Security scanned

    Verified clean 3 months ago

    • Passed all security checks, Safe to install

    Listed3 months ago

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