Polymarket Private Markets Trading Bot

Specialized Private Equity & IPO Market Intelligence

The poly-private-markets skill transforms your AI agent into a sophisticated analyst for Polymarket's private company and IPO prediction markets. It solves the problem of "informational noise" by moving beyond news headlines to focus on cross-market coherence, resolution rule technicalities, and hard regulatory signals from SEC filings.

Advanced Analytical Framework

• Cross-Market Coherence: Detects mispricings by building "coherence webs" that identify logical contradictions between time ladders, valuation thresholds, and related entity markets.
• Resolution Rule Forensic: Analyzes the fine print of market contracts to find edge in how "IPO," "valuation," and "official source" are strictly defined.
• IPO Timing Signals: Correlates EDGAR filing activity (S-1/A, DRS) and macro proxies like the VIX or Renaissance IPO ETF to predict listing windows.
• Noise Mean Reversion: Quantifies when to fade unconfirmed social media rumors versus when to respect official disclosures.

Professional Risk Management

Instead of simple "yes/no" guesses, this skill provides a developer-grade trading memo including Kelly Criterion sizing, liquidity-adjusted entry/exit prices, and specific resolution risk scores. It supports a disciplined workflow of paper trading, exit tracking, and calibration to ensure long-term edge over the retail crowd.