Game Greenlight Analyst

Every game ever made is a bet. Most studios decide what they are going to make based on either gut feel or evidence of previous success. Imagine that someone internally loves the pitch. Still, nobody anticipates what the market is going to be like in the future. Eighteen months later, the studio finds out in the reviews or in the layoffs. Don't leave critical studio decisions up to chance, gut feelings, or instincts. This skill will tell you no. Most AI tools flatter your idea. This one is built to find the reason any given game pitch or concept won't sell, and to say so:

• Hard caps override the math. An idea based on two games bolted together is a No, however good the market looks.
• Conditions can't gut your pitch. If your game only works with a core pillar cut, it's a different game, and the verdict says so.
• The verdict never softens for its audience. The publisher view and the internal view reach the same call.
• When Game Greenlight Analyst says no, it says why, and what would earn a second look.

Game Greenlight Analyst does the homework before anyone makes the call. Your agent:

• Pulls real comparable games ("comps"): 4–5 hits and at least 2 failures, with sourced sales, reviews and dates
• Names your live competitors: who already owns your lane, and who's launching into your window
• Checks genre health (Steam hit rates by genre) and the unseen pipeline
• Tests whether your pillars form one loop, or two games bolted together
• Runs every mechanic through a friction test: does it amplify the genre's payoff or tax it?
• Finds a real market precedent for your riskiest bet

Now you're informed about potential market response, the good and the bad. What you get: a charted decision memo

• Verdict: Go / Go-if / Fix studio first / Rework concept / No, with confidence
• SWOT that drives the conditions, with every item linked to what it changes
• Greenlight matrix with your comps plotted beside you
• Player Investment Ladder, launch timeline, and friction map
• Conditions you can gate on, or a path back to qualify for Go if your results are a No
• Dissent on record: the assumptions an override is betting on, and what they cost if wrong
• Every number sourced, dated, and tagged measured, estimated, or judged

One memo, for four very different readers. Switch between Internal, Publisher, Investor, and Team views. The framing of each report changes to match priorities for each role; the findings stay the same. Who it's for

• Indie developers: know if it'll sell before you spend your savings, and walk into publisher meetings with their analysis already done.
• Publishers and producers: one consistent bar for the pitch pile, with the dissent written down.
• Investors: recoup scenarios and tranche gates before the money moves.

Built by an industry veteran. The method comes from 25 years of AAA development and real greenlight decisions, packaged by Teddy Bear's Picnic. Two depths, your choice: brief (a fast ~5-search gut check with the verdict, SWOT and key charts) or full (the complete memo). The skill asks at the start. Limits, stated plainly: it can't play your build, so describe it. Sales figures are ranges, not forecasts. It needs web search. Agents that can't render HTML get a text memo. Not financial or legal advice. Updated quarterly: the comps and genre-health library is refreshed and versioned every quarter.

Language guardrails (agreed)

• Say "demo plans," or describe demos; the skill can't play builds.
• Say "evidence-first," not "without bias."
• Frame funding as a "decision aid"; always pair it with the not-financial-advice line.