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Crypto Governance Proposal Impact Analyzer
Analyzes DAO governance proposals to produce evidence-linked impact briefs and risk-rated voting postures.
$24.99
Crypto Governance Proposal Impact Analyzer
Example session with this skill installed
Analyze Aave Proposal 142 regarding the GHO stablecoin interest rate update. Here is the forum link: https://governance.aave.com/t/arc-gho-interest-rate-update/15000 and the current rate is 0%.
- Read your context and instructions
- Compiled the crypto governance proposal
I have analyzed the GHO interest rate proposal based on the provided forum link and Aave governance documentation.
Governance Proposal Impact Brief
Protocol / DAO: Aave
Proposal ID / title: ARC - GHO Interest Rate Update
Analysis date: 2023-10-27
Status: Discussion / RFC
Evidence coverage: Partial (Executable payload not yet deployed)
Executive Summary
- The proposal introduces the first interest rate for GHO, moving from a 0% introductory rate to a targeted borrowing cost.
- Verified fact: The proposed starting rate is 3% for non-stkABPT holders.
- Inference: This change aims to stabilize the GHO peg by reducing arbitrage opportunities.
1. Proposed Changes
| Component | Current | Proposed | Change | Intended effect | Evidence / confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GHO Borrow Rate | 0% | 3.00% | +300 bps | Curb supply growth | Forum / High |
| Discount for stkAAVE | N/A | 30% | New | Incentivize staking | ARC Text / Med |
2. Technical & Protocol Impact
The change requires an update to the GhoInterestRateStrategy contract. Execution follows the standard Aave Governance v2 path. Reversibility is high via a subsequent governance vote.
3. Treasury Exposure
Revenue Projection: Based on a $25M circulating supply, a 3% rate generates ~$750k annualized revenue for the Aave Treasury, assuming supply remains constant post-hike.
7. Risk Register
| Risk / scenario | Likelihood | Impact | Evidence | Early warning | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Contraction | Medium | Low | Historical DeFi hikes | Rapid GHO repayment | Gradual rate steps |
| Peg Volatility | High | Medium | Market data | GHO > $1.01 | Arbitrage incentives |
9. Voting Brief
Suggested posture: For
Rationale: Necessary transition from "bootstrap" phase to sustainable economic model; 3% is conservative relative to DAI/USDC.
Confidence: High
Questions to resolve: Will the discount apply to all stkAAVE categories or only specific modules?
Next steps
- Monitor the GHO price peg on Curve/Balancer for 48 hours post-execution.
- Verify the
rateStrategyaddress in the final AIP payload matches the audited implementation.
Connects securely to your tools. The creator never sees your data.
About this skill
High-stakes DAO governance decisions often suffer from information asymmetry, where executable payloads and technical forum posts obscure actual protocol risks. This skill provides a neutral, evidence-based framework for analyzing crypto governance proposals to protect delegates and token holders from unintended consequences.
What it does
- Technical audit mapping by extracting executable paths, contract permissions, and dependency changes from proposal data.
- Treasury exposure modeling that calculates one-time versus recurring costs, runway impact, and asset concentration based on sourced balances.
- Parameter impact analysis to explain first- and second-order effects of protocol setting changes on specific user cohorts.
- Voting power assessment by analyzing snapshots to identify quorum sensitivity and delegation concentration.
- Risk registration through a structured matrix of technical, financial, and operational failure modes with mitigation strategies.
How it works
- Ingest proposal data including forum URLs, proposal IDs, executable calldata, and treasury dashboard links.
- Classify and extract key metadata such as quorum thresholds, voting windows, and the exact delta between current and proposed states.
- Execute multi-dimensional analysis across technical, financial, and community vectors using inline evidence citations.
- Generate a voting brief that compares options (Approve, Reject, Defer) and provides a confidence-rated posture.
Frameworks & tools
This tool is designed for on-chain governance ecosystems including Ethereum, L2s, and Cosmos-based DAOs. It utilizes protocol documentation, Etherscan/block explorers, treasury tracking tools, and Snapshot.org data.
Why this beats prompting it yourself
Standard prompts often fail to distinguish between anecdotal community sentiment and verified on-chain facts. This skill enforces a strict evidence-based quality gate that separates inferences from verified data, preventing the AI from hallucinating treasury balances or protocol safety guarantees.
Use cases
- Delegate briefings for high-volume voting requirements across multiple protocols.
- Protocol research for investment firms or governance boutiques performing due diligence.
- Community advocacy to identify and communicate technical risks to non-technical token holders.
Known limitations
Does not perform live smart-contract audits or provide legal, financial, or tax advice. Accuracy depends on the availability of public forum data and on-chain snapshot transparency.
Requires manual input of URLs or proposal text if not connected to live governance APIs. Cannot execute transactions or verify off-chain identity/collusion.
How to use
- 1
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- 2
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- 3
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