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- Amazon Inventory Guardian — Plan Reorders & Stock
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Amazon Inventory Guardian — Plan Reorders & Stock
Forecast demand ranges, protect availability, control excess stock, and plan replenishment with explicit lead-time and cash assumptions.
$9.99
Amazon Inventory Guardian — Plan Reorders & Stock
Example session with this skill installed
Review this SKU’s replenishment risk for the US marketplace. Current sellable: 420 units; reserved: 20; inbound confirmed: 180 with an estimated Amazon availability window of 35–49 days; recent sales: 560 units over 28 calendar days, including 4 days with a stockout. Supplier production is 21–28 days plus freight, customs, prep, transit, and receiving; I need the full timeline checked. MOQ: 1,000 units; available buying cash: [enter]. Flag censored demand, calculate provisional cover and lead-time demand ranges, and tell me what data is missing before setting a purchase order. Do not treat the 180 inbound units as available before receipt.
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- Compiled the amazon inventory guardian
Replenishment Risk Review — Illustrative Inputs
Summary
The supplied snapshot suggests a material timing risk: the 35–49 day inbound window is longer than the rough current coverage estimate. This is a planning signal, not a precise forecast. Four stockout days may have censored demand, and the supplier-to-Amazon timeline is incomplete. Do not place an order from this snapshot alone.
Inventory truth
| State | Units | Treatment |
|---|---|---|
| Sellable | 420 | Available now |
| Reserved | 20 | Deduct from planning inventory |
| Confirmed inbound | 180 | Exclude until realistically available; estimate 35–49 days |
| Planning inventory before inbound | 400 | 420 − 20; confirm snapshot timestamp and definitions |
Demand and cover
Observed sales are 560 units in 28 calendar days, but 4 days were stockout days. A simple in-stock-day rate is 560 ÷ 24 =
23.3 units/day. This may still be biased by lost demand, promotions, price changes, ads, or seasonality; inspect the daily series before adopting it. At that provisional rate, 400 units represent about
17 days of cover before reliable inbound.
Lead-time check
The stated inbound availability window is 35–49 days. At 23.3 units/day, demand over that window is roughly
817–1,143 units. This excludes additional supplier production, origin handling, customs, 3PL/prep, and any receiving delay not already inside the window. The current snapshot therefore indicates elevated stockout risk if demand persists.
Purchase decision gaps
- Confirm whether 35–49 days covers the full PO-to-sellable timeline or only Amazon transit/receiving.
- Provide daily sales, promotion/ad/price changes, stockout dates, and a longer history to build low/base/high demand.
- Confirm inbound status, ETA confidence, MOQ/case pack, supplier variability, and cash available.
- Set the service objective and include storage, landed cost, and contribution before sizing the order.
Provisional status: HIGH ATTENTION; confidence LOW. Recalculate reorder point as expected demand during full replenishment lead time plus evidence-based safety stock. A 1,000-unit MOQ may exceed near-term need, so compare stockout risk with cash and aging cost before committing.
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About this skill
Amazon Inventory Guardian helps Amazon sellers balance stockout exposure, excess inventory, storage cost, and working capital. It first builds an inventory truth record that separates sellable, reserved, inbound, receiving, transfer, damaged, stranded, and unavailable units so inventory is not double-counted.
The GUARD-14 framework reviews inventory position, demand baseline, trend, seasonality, variability, total replenishment lead time and its variability, safety stock, reorder point, inbound pipeline, aging risk, cash, promotion and advertising interaction, and supply constraints. It flags stockout and promotion periods that distort observed sales, distinguishes demand signals from assumptions, and uses forecast ranges instead of presenting a point estimate as certainty.
Provide sales history, stockout periods, current inventory snapshots, open purchase orders, supplier timelines, MOQ and case-pack rules, costs, and target service priorities. The agent can calculate days of cover, demand during lead time, scenario reorder points, cash requirements, and inventory allocation options where the data supports them. It can suggest exception and alert rules, but does not monitor or update inventory continuously unless a permitted scheduler or connector is configured.
Amazon inventory states, receiving times, capacity, fees, and availability are time-sensitive and may not be visible without authorized first-party data. The agent does not fabricate demand, lead times, fees, or available stock. Recommendations depend on accurate timestamps, SKU/ASIN mapping, units, and supply assumptions; they are planning support, not guarantees against stockouts, excess inventory, sales loss, or profit impact.
For best results, share marketplace, ASIN/SKU, fulfillment path, timestamped inventory by state, recent demand history, stockout and promotion dates, confirmed inbound quantities, full supplier-to-Amazon lead times, MOQ/case pack, unit economics, and cash constraints.
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